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Laurent Franceschetti
Laurent Franceschetti

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Are Blockchains Behaving Like Beehives?

I would like to submit a thought that people interested in blockchain and crypto would understand better than others.

Did you know ๐Ÿ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜… ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—•๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€? All large blockchain communities, despite being born with decentralized rules, will always result in centralization.

๐—•๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€: decentralized by design, yet centralization emerges as they scale.

That's a property embedded in the rules of nature.

In nature, thousands of bees coordinate in a decentralized way, through elementary self-contained algorithms and simple communication protocols โ€” foraging, cleaning, defending. But one queen becomes the reproductive center. If she dies, the hive looks alive for a while, yet the survival chain is broken and collapse is inevitable.

Blockchain mirrors the structure of a beehive:

๐—ช๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ = everyday participants transacting onโ€‘chain.
๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ = validators and consensus enforcers.
๐——๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€ = miners and liquidity providers.
๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€ = custodians, issuers, foundations reproducing credibility and continuity.

Unlike in nature, blockchain hives often tolerate ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—น๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€ โ€” exchanges, stablecoin issuers, foundations โ€” fragmenting the swarm into overlapping sub-colonies. This polyโ€‘queen structure is both the ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€ of the ecosystem.

The ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜๐—ต: decentralization at the core of the system creates resilience.
The ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€: continuity depends on central โ€œqueens.โ€ If a ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€” for example, an ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐˜ โ€” its part of the ecosystem dies.

In fact, the death (bankruptcy) of a queen could destabilize others, in a domino effect and lead to the ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ, propagated by panic; in finance this is called the ๐—›๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜ ๐—ฅ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ -- from the name of a German bank, in 1970s, whose bankruptcy nearly collapsed the national banking system, because of the late settlement of transactions.

In the Bitcoin ecosystem in particular, the Herstatt Risk should be seriously considered, because it is an existential risk -- admittedly, it would not kill the blockchain itself, but it could seriously hurt the market value of Bitcoin... making the currency less desirable; and in the extreme, it could make that currency pointless.

Exchanges can take measures to protect themselves against the Herstatt Risk, using the blockchain to settle their mutual debts. However, it can be shown that there will always be a residual risk. And it requires, also, that the community becomes aware of the Herstatt Risk.

๐Ÿ‘‰ The ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜…: decentralized by design, but centralization inevitably emerges with scale. And with centralization comes the concept of ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ต, which is a mechanism rooted in nature, which is necessary to any ecosystem. So part of the game for any blockchain community, is to find strategies avoiding the risk of death for the whole colony.

What do you think? Do you see how exchanges could be affected by the Herstatt risk?

(Article adapted from a post on Linkedin).

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