I would like to submit a thought that people interested in blockchain and crypto would understand better than others.
Did you know ๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ต๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐น๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐๐ป๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐? All large blockchain communities, despite being born with decentralized rules, will always result in centralization.
๐๐น๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐๐ป๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐น๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ต๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐: decentralized by design, yet centralization emerges as they scale.
That's a property embedded in the rules of nature.
In nature, thousands of bees coordinate in a decentralized way, through elementary self-contained algorithms and simple communication protocols โ foraging, cleaning, defending. But one queen becomes the reproductive center. If she dies, the hive looks alive for a while, yet the survival chain is broken and collapse is inevitable.
Blockchain mirrors the structure of a beehive:
๐ช๐ผ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ = everyday participants transacting onโchain.
๐ฆ๐ผ๐น๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ = validators and consensus enforcers.
๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ = miners and liquidity providers.
๐ค๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป๐ = custodians, issuers, foundations reproducing credibility and continuity.
Unlike in nature, blockchain hives often tolerate ๐บ๐๐น๐๐ถ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ ๐พ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป๐ โ exchanges, stablecoin issuers, foundations โ fragmenting the swarm into overlapping sub-colonies. This polyโqueen structure is both the ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐๐ต ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ of the ecosystem.
The ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐๐ต: decentralization at the core of the system creates resilience.
The ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐: continuity depends on central โqueens.โ If a ๐พ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฒ๐ โ for example, an ๐ฒ๐
๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ ๐ด๐ผ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ป๐ธ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐ โ its part of the ecosystem dies.
In fact, the death (bankruptcy) of a queen could destabilize others, in a domino effect and lead to the ๐ฐ๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฝ๐๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ต๐ถ๐๐ฒ, propagated by panic; in finance this is called the ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐๐ธ -- from the name of a German bank, in 1970s, whose bankruptcy nearly collapsed the national banking system, because of the late settlement of transactions.
In the Bitcoin ecosystem in particular, the Herstatt Risk should be seriously considered, because it is an existential risk -- admittedly, it would not kill the blockchain itself, but it could seriously hurt the market value of Bitcoin... making the currency less desirable; and in the extreme, it could make that currency pointless.
Exchanges can take measures to protect themselves against the Herstatt Risk, using the blockchain to settle their mutual debts. However, it can be shown that there will always be a residual risk. And it requires, also, that the community becomes aware of the Herstatt Risk.
๐ The ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ต๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ : decentralized by design, but centralization inevitably emerges with scale. And with centralization comes the concept of ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ต, which is a mechanism rooted in nature, which is necessary to any ecosystem. So part of the game for any blockchain community, is to find strategies avoiding the risk of death for the whole colony.
What do you think? Do you see how exchanges could be affected by the Herstatt risk?
(Article adapted from a post on Linkedin).
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