Crypto Forem

Mikhail Liublin
Mikhail Liublin

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Why You Can’t Hedge Impermanent Loss with Futures

DeFi is full of seductive numbers.
50% APR. 100% APR. Sometimes more.
It looks like free money.

A common trick is simple:
Provide liquidity in a pool.
Then hedge exposure with futures.
Lock in the yield.

At first glance, it feels risk-free.
But this is a trap.

Impermanent loss is not a straight line.
It is convex.
The further the price moves from your entry, the more you lose relative to holding the assets.

Futures are linear.
They are built to hedge direction, not curvature.
You can short or long to cancel out spot exposure.
But the shape of impermanent loss is different.

Example:
• You LP into ETH/USDC.
• ETH price doubles.
• The pool automatically rebalances. You now hold less ETH and more USDC.
• Compared to just holding ETH, you are worse off.
• Your short futures hedge cancels the ETH price increase.
But the rebalance curve keeps draining PnL.

You win nothing. In many cases, you lose.

Digging Deeper: Futures vs Options
The reason is mathematical:
• Futures = linear payoff.
• Impermanent loss = quadratic-like payoff (curved).
• To hedge a curve, you need convexity.

This is where options come in.
Options give nonlinear payoffs.
With the right strikes, they can replicate the impermanent loss profile.
That means they can actually cover the tail risk.

But here is the painful truth:
Options are not free.
Time decay (theta) eats your returns every day.
And often, the theta cost is higher than the APR you try to capture.
So the “hedge” becomes more expensive than the yield itself.

If you want to play in liquidity pools, understand the real risk.
• Futures cannot protect you from impermanent loss.
• Only options can, but the cost usually destroys the APR.
• High yields advertised by pools are not “risk-free.” They are a payment for taking convex risk.

**
**
Treat liquidity provision like an option seller.
You are selling volatility in exchange for yield.
Sometimes it pays. Sometimes it blows up.

If you want stability, don’t chase the flashy APR.
If you want exposure, know that it’s a volatility bet, not a farming trick.

The simple strategy is usually the one that fails in real markets.
Impermanent loss cannot be hedged with futures.
Options can work, but they cost more than the yield.

In DeFi, nothing is free.
If the APR looks too good to be true, it is.

👉 What do you think? Should liquidity providers start thinking more like volatility traders?

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